Galin Dragiev

Daily Fantasy Soccer

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DFS Soccer: Week 29

Thursday, March 16, 2017


With the season slowly winding down, Chelsea have pulled ahead of the competition by a solid ten points and look to be unbeatable at the moment. However, in fantasy, their prices have stayed sky-high and it’s tough to find opportunities to take advantage. With so many contributors, it’s often difficult to find the right player from Chelsea, but a good matchup against Stoke City might give us that chance this weekend. Let’s look at all the games and see where we can find value on FanDuel.

 

Everton – Hull City

Hull City have improved over their last few games but that improvement has not been on the defensive ends. They still struggle to keep teams out, and struggle even more to prevent teams from breaking them down. Everton are in that upper middle tier of the league, and they’ve shown strength at home with nine wins and just one loss. They’re ½ favorites to win here and will likely dominate this match from start to finish.

 

In fantasy, we have weekly GPP target Romelu Lukaku, who carries incredible upside in every game and has 2/1 odds to score a brace on Saturday. He is too inconsistent for cash games, however, and should be avoided in that format. Ross Barkley is another player to target in a game where Everton are expected to score plenty, and he should be a popular tournament choice. At $6,400, Eldin Jakupovic is a fantastic cash and tournament target with huge save potential.

 

Crystal Palace – Watford

Crystal Palace are coming off of two straight wins and have finally come out of the relegation zone. This is a huge game for them, as it’s winnable and it would put them at a distance from the dreaded last three. The resurgence has come on the defensive end, and with a game at home, I can see them keeping another clean sheet here, or at least keeping Watford in check.

 

Wilfried Zaha has been one of the brighter spots for Palace this season and comes underpriced. He is in play at $6,600. Patrick van Aanholt looks to be questionable for the weekend; if he sits, look for value in the underpriced Palace defense. Watford should be very low owned, so someone like Troy Deeney can be considered in tournaments.

 

Sunderland – Burnley

Sunderland as favorites? What have we come to? It’s a home match against poor opponents and Sunderland have a chance to win a game and make their annual run at avoiding relegation. It seems like every year they’re in an unsurmountable hole, and every year they make it out. Well this could be the game that turns it around this season, and Sunderland will fight hard here.

 

Jermain Defoe has been nonexistent in the last three games, but he has brace upside anytime he plays a full game and they’ll get a chance to attack here. Use him in tournaments only. On the other end of the ball, Robbie Brady is underpriced for what he can deliver and with him on certain set pieces, there is upside here.  On defense, Matthew Lowton averages nearly two tackles and interceptions per game, as well as over five clearances. His floor is great for cash games.

 

Stoke City – Chelsea

Chelsea should be able to destroy Stoke City here and it’s just a matter of how many they’ll score. The issue is that they have four of five guys that can all score, so in cash games it’s difficult to find a consistent contributor. Almost their entire team is viable in tournaments, especially Diego Costa, Eden Hazard, and Pedro.

 

On Stoke’s end, Erik Pieters should be doing a lot of defending and finds multiple ways to contribute with defensive stats. His price is fair and he can be considered in cash games. His floor consists of blocked shots, clearances, tackles, and interceptions sprinkled in with some consistent passing.  Lee Grant should face a plethora of shots and is viable in all formats.

 

West Ham – Leicester

The battle of the mid-table races. Leicester are looking to pull away from the relegation zone to ensure safety while West Ham are trying to define themselves after losing their heart and soul in Dimitri Payet. It’s worth noting Leicester have won two in a row and are playing much better after parting ways with Claudio Ranieri.

 

Riyad Mahrez was part of that resurgence and he is priced at $7,100. He is certainly viable here. Jamie Vardy is more expensive but he has upside in tournaments. Andy Carroll has been very up and down, but he is priced at $8,200 in a home game where West Ham are favored and should draw some tournament consideration.

 

Bournemouth – Swansea

The last match should be fairly even. Bournemouth are favored but Swansea can hold their own against a team of Bournemouth’s caliber and there could be some goals scored here both ways. Swansea have conceded the league’s most goals by a margin, including 31 goals in 14 away games. That’s pretty incredible.

 

Joshua King showed what he can do against weak opposition and will be highly owned here. He is very binary, as he isn’t worth his price if he doesn’t score, and considering the ownership, a slight GPP fade might not be the worst call.  I think he is certainly viable in cash games though, and he definitely does have the upside to crush in tournaments, but contrarian players may want to fade him in large-field GPPs.  On the other end of the ball, Gylfi Sigurdsson is fantastic option once again. Gylfi plays better when from behind, so if Swansea concede early there could be a lot of Gylfi points here.

 

Good luck to everyone this weekend!



Galin Dragiev is a Rotoworld contributor that focuses on Daily Fantasy Soccer and contributes for a number of outlets in the industry. You can find him on Twitter at @GalinDragiev.
Email :Galin Dragiev





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